Zochitika zachuma zomwe zikubwera pa 5 Novembara 2024

Nthawi(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	chochitika	Mapa	Previous
01:45		2 mfundo	Caixin Services PMI (Oct)	50.5	50.3
03:30		3 mfundo	Chigamulo cha Chiwongola dzanja cha RBA (Nov)	4.35%	4.35%
03:30		2 mfundo	Ndemanga ya Ndondomeko ya Ndalama ya RBA	---	---
03:30		2 mfundo	Mtengo wa RBA	---	---
10:00		3 mfundo	Chisankho cha Purezidenti waku US	---	---
10:00		2 mfundo	Misonkhano ya Eurogroup	---	---
13:30		2 mfundo	Zotumiza kunja (Sep)	---	271.80B
13:30		2 mfundo	Zochokera kunja (Sep)	---	342.20B
13:30		2 mfundo	Ndalama Zamalonda (Sep)	-83.30B	-70.40B
14:30		2 mfundo	Purezidenti wa ECB Lagarde Amalankhula	---	---
14:45		2 mfundo	S&P Global Composite PMI (Oct)	54.3	54.0
14:45		3 mfundo	S&P Global Services PMI (Oct)	55.3	55.2
15:00		2 mfundo	ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Oct)	---	48.1
15:00		3 mfundo	ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Oct)	53.7	54.9
15:00		3 mfundo	Mitengo Yosapanga ISM (Oct)	---	59.4
18:00		3 mfundo	Zaka 10 Zogulitsa Zolemba	---	4.066%
18:00		2 mfundo	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)	2.3%	2.3%
18:30		2 mfundo	Schnabel wa ECB Amalankhula	---	---
20:00		2 mfundo	RBNZ Financial Stability Report	---	---
21:30		2 mfundo	API Weekly Crude Mafuta Stock Stock	-0.900M	-0.573M
23:50		2 mfundo	Mphindi Zamisonkhano Yazachuma	---	---

Chidule cha Zochitika Zachuma Zomwe Zikubwera pa Novembara 5, 2024

1. China Caixin Services PMI (Oct) (01:45 UTC):
   Mulingo wofunikira wa ntchito zagawo lazantchito zaku China. Zoneneratu: 50.5, Patsogolo: 50.3. Kuwerenga pamwamba pa 50 kukuwonetsa kukula, kuwonetsa kukula kwa gawo lautumiki.
2. Chigamulo cha Chiwongola dzanja cha RBA (Nov) (03:30 UTC):
   Lingaliro la chiwongola dzanja cha Reserve Bank of Australia. Zoneneratu: 4.35%, Previous: 4.35%. Kupatuka kulikonse pazolosera kungakhudze AUD.
3. Ndemanga ya Ndondomeko Yandalama ya RBA & Ndemanga ya Mtengo (03:30 UTC):
   Imatsagana ndi chigamulo cha RBA ndipo imapereka chidziwitso pamalingaliro azachuma a banki yayikulu ndi malangizo.
4. Chisankho cha Utsogoleri wa US (10:00 UTC):
   Ovota apita kukavota kuti asankhe purezidenti wa US. Zotsatira za zisankho nthawi zambiri zimakhudza kusakhazikika kwa msika, zomwe zimakhudza USD, equities, ndi misika yapadziko lonse lapansi.
5. Misonkhano ya Eurogroup (10:00 UTC):
   Misonkhano ya nduna za zachuma za Eurozone kuti akambirane ndondomeko ya zachuma. Zolengeza zazikulu zilizonse zitha kukhudza EUR.
6. US Trade Balance (Sep) (13:30 UTC):
   Amayesa kusiyana pakati pa zotumiza kunja ndi zolowa kunja. Zoneneratu: -$83.30B, Patsogolo: --$70.40B. Kuchepeka kokulirapo kungasonyeze kuchulukirachulukira kochokera kunja poyerekeza ndi zotumiza kunja, zomwe zitha kulemera pa USD.
7. Purezidenti wa ECB Lagarde Alankhula (14:30 UTC):
   Purezidenti wa ECB a Christine Lagarde atha kupereka zidziwitso za momwe ECB ikuwonera zachuma komanso momwe akuwonera pakukula kwa inflation, zomwe zingakhudze EUR.
8. US S&P Global Composite and Services PMI (Oct) (14:45 UTC):
   Miyezo yantchito yonse yamabizinesi ndi gawo lautumiki. Zoneneratu Zophatikizika: 54.3, Ntchito: 55.3. Kuwerenga pamwamba pa 50 kumasonyeza kukula, komwe kumathandizira USD.
9. US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Oct) (15:00 UTC):
   Kuwunika kofunikira kwa gawo la ntchito zaku US. Zoneneratu: 53.7, Patsogolo: 54.9. Kutsika kungasonyeze kuchedwetsa kukula kwa ntchito, zomwe zingakhale zolemera pa USD.
10. Kugulitsa Zolemba Zaka ziwiri zaku US (10:18 UTC):
    Kugulitsa kwazaka 10 za Treasury. Zokolola zam'mbuyo: 4.066%. Zokolola zapamwamba zingasonyeze kuwonjezereka kwa ndalama zobwereka kapena zoyembekeza za kukwera kwa mitengo, kuthandizira USD.
11. Lipoti la Kukhazikika Kwachuma kwa RBNZ (20:00 UTC):
    Lipoti la Reserve Bank of New Zealand lokhudza kukhazikika kwachuma, zomwe zingakhudze NZD powonetsa zoopsa zazachuma kapena momwe banki ikuwonera ndondomeko ya ndalama.
12. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock (21:30 UTC):
    Imayesa kusintha kwa mlungu ndi mlungu m'magulu amafuta amafuta aku US. Zoneneratu: -0.900M, Zam'mbuyo: -0.573M. Kutsika kwakukulu kuposa momwe kumayembekezereka kungasonyeze kufunika kokulirapo, kuthandizira mitengo yamafuta.
13. Mphindi Zamisonkhano Yazachuma (23:50 UTC):
    Mwinamwake kuchokera ku Bank of Japan kapena banki ina yaikulu, kufotokoza zokambirana zaposachedwa ndi momwe chuma chikuyendera, zomwe zingakhudze JPY.

Market Impact Analysis

• China Caixin Services PMI:
  Kuwerenga pamwamba pa 50 kungasonyeze kukula kwa gawo la ntchito ku China, kuthandizira malingaliro owopsa ndi zinthu zomwe zingakhalepo. Kutsika kungasonyeze kukula kwapang'onopang'ono, mwina kukhudza katundu wowopsa.
• Chigamulo cha Chiwongola dzanja cha RBA ndi Ndemanga:
  Kupatuka kulikonse pamlingo woyembekezeredwa kungakhudze kwambiri AUD. Liwu la hawkish m'mawu angathandizire AUD, pomwe ndemanga ya dovish imatha kufooketsa.
• Chisankho cha Purezidenti waku US:
  Zotsatira za zisankho nthawi zambiri zimabweretsa kusakhazikika kwa msika, zomwe zimakhudza USD, US equities, komanso malingaliro amsika wapadziko lonse lapansi, pomwe osunga ndalama amasintha malo potengera momwe akuyembekezeredwa.
• US Trade Balance:
  Kuchepeka kochulukirako kungasonyeze kuchulukirachulukira kwa katundu wakunja poyerekeza ndi zotumiza kunja, zomwe zitha kulemera pa USD. Kuperewera kocheperako kungathandizire dola.
• Kulankhula kwa Purezidenti wa ECB Lagarde:
  Ndemanga ya Hawkish pa kukwera kwa inflation ingathandize EUR, pomwe zonena zabodza zitha kufooketsa.
• US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ndi 10-year Note Auction:
  PMI yolimba ingasonyeze kulimba mtima kwa gawo la ntchito, kuthandizira USD. Zokolola zambiri pamsika zitha kuthandizanso USD powonetsa ziyembekezo za kukwera kwa mitengo.
• Lipoti la Kukhazikika Kwachuma kwa RBNZ:
  Zizindikiro zilizonse za chiwopsezo chachuma kapena chiwopsezo chazachuma zitha kulemera pa NZD, pomwe mawonekedwe okhazikika angathandizire.

Zotsatira Zonse

Kusasinthasintha:
Pamwamba, ndikuyang'ana kwambiri pa chisankho cha RBA, chisankho cha pulezidenti wa US, ndi ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Zomwe zimachitika pamsika ku ECB ndi ndemanga za RBNZ zidzakhudzanso misika yandalama ndi ma bond.

Zotsatira: 8/10, motsogozedwa ndi zochitika zazikulu, kuphatikiza zisankho zaku US, zisankho zamabanki apakati, ndi zizindikiro zazikulu zachuma m'maiko onse azachuma zomwe zingakhudze kukhazikika kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi ndi malangizo.