Zochitika zachuma zomwe zikubwera pa 4 Novembara 2024

Nthawi(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	chochitika	Mapa	Previous
09:00		2 mfundo	HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Oct)	45.9	45.0
10:00		2 mfundo	Misonkhano ya Eurogroup	---	---
13:30		2 mfundo	Elderson wa ECB Akulankhula	---	---
15:00		2 mfundo	Ma Factory Orders (MoM) (Sep)	-0.4%	-0.2%
15:15		2 mfundo	ECB McCaul Amalankhula	---	---
18:00		2 mfundo	Zaka 3 Zogulitsa Zolemba	---	-3.878%
20:00		2 mfundo	RBNZ Financial Stability Report	---	---
22:00		2 mfundo	RBNZ Gov Orr Akulankhula	---	---

Chidule cha Zochitika Zachuma Zomwe Zikubwera pa Novembara 4, 2024

1. HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Oct) (09:00 UTC):
   Imayesa ntchito zopanga mu Eurozone. Zoneneratu: 45.9, M'mbuyomu: 45.0. Kuwerengera pansi pa 50 kukuwonetsa kuchepa, kuwonetsa kuchepa kwa ntchito zamafakitale m'derali.
2. Misonkhano ya Eurogroup (10:00 UTC):
   Msonkhano wa nduna za zachuma za Eurozone kuti akambirane ndondomeko zachuma ndi zomwe zikuchitika. Mitu kapena mawu ofunikira angakhudze EUR, makamaka ngati zokambirana zikukhudzana ndi ndondomeko ya zachuma kapena kukula kwachuma.
3. Elderson wa ECB Akulankhula (13:30 UTC):
   Membala wa ECB Executive Board a Frank Elderson atha kukambirana za momwe chuma cha Eurozone chikuchulukira komanso kukwera kwa mitengo, ndikupereka zidziwitso zandalama za ECB.
4. Ma Orders aku US Factory (MoM) (Sep) (15:00 UTC):
   Imayesa kusintha kwa mwezi ndi mwezi kwa maoda omwe amaperekedwa ndi opanga. Zoneneratu: -0.4%, Zam'mbuyo: -0.2%. Kutsika kungasonyeze kufunikira kochepa kwa zinthu zopangidwa, zomwe zingakhale zolemera pa USD.
5. ECB McCaul Akulankhula (15:15 UTC):
   Ndemanga zochokera kwa membala wa ECB Supervisory Board a Edouard Fernandez-Bollo McCaul atha kupereka zidziwitso zakukhazikika kwachuma komanso kuwongolera mu Eurozone.
6. Kugulitsa Zolemba Zaka ziwiri zaku US (3:18 UTC):
   Boma la US Treasury likugulitsa zolemba zaboma zazaka zitatu. Zokolola zam'mbuyo: -3%. Zokolola zapamwamba zingasonyeze kuwonjezereka kwa ziyembekezo za kutsika kwa mitengo kapena kufunikira kwa msika kuti abweze ndalama zambiri, zomwe zingathe kuthandizira USD.
7. Lipoti la Kukhazikika Kwachuma kwa RBNZ (20:00 UTC):
   Lipoti la Reserve Bank of New Zealand pa kukhazikika kwa kayendetsedwe kazachuma, zomwe zingawonetse zoopsa ndikukhazikitsa ndondomeko ya ndondomeko ya ndalama, zomwe zimakhudza NZD.
8. RBNZ Gov Orr Akulankhula (22:00 UTC):
   Bwanamkubwa Adrian Orr atha kukambirana za momwe chuma chikuyendera komanso kukhazikika kwachuma ku New Zealand, zomwe zitha kupereka chidziwitso pazatsogoleli zamtsogolo za RBNZ.

Market Impact Analysis

• Eurozone Manufacturing PMI:
  Kuwerenga kocheperako kuposa komwe kumayembekezereka kungasonyeze kutsika, komwe kungathe kulemera kwa EUR powonetsa kufooka kwachuma. Zambiri kuposa zomwe zimayembekezeredwa zikuwonetsa kulimba mtima, kuthandizira EUR.
• Maoda a Fakitale yaku US:
  Kutsika kwa madongosolo afakitale kukuwonetsa kufooka kwa kupanga, komwe kumatha kulemera pa USD. Malamulo amphamvu angasonyeze kufunidwa kosalekeza, kuchirikiza ndalamazo.
• Zolankhula za ECB & RBNZ ndi Lipoti Lokhazikika pazachuma:
  Ndemanga za Hawkish kuchokera kwa akuluakulu a ECB zingathandizire EUR, pomwe ndemanga zamatsenga zitha kuzifewetsa. Ku New Zealand, lipoti lokhazikika lazachuma la RBNZ ndi malingaliro aliwonse ochokera kwa Gov Orr angakhudze NZD, makamaka ngati akuwonetsa kusintha kwamitengo kapena nkhawa zazachuma.
• Kugulitsa Zolemba Zaka 3 ku US:
  Zokolola zapamwamba zingathandizire USD, kusonyeza kufunikira kowonjezereka kwa ngongole za US kapena ziyembekezo za kukwera kwa mitengo. Zokolola zotsika zimatha kuwonetsa kutsika kwa mitengo yamtengo wapatali.

Zotsatira Zonse

Kusasinthasintha:
Moderate, ndi chidwi pa data yopanga Eurozone, malamulo aku US fakitale, ndi zolankhula kuchokera kwa akuluakulu a banki yayikulu. Lipoti la RBNZ Financial Stability Report ndi ndemanga za ECB zidzathandiziranso kusintha kwa EUR ndi NZD.

Zotsatira: 6/10, motsogozedwa ndi zidziwitso zamabanki apakati ndi data yopanga kuchokera ku Eurozone ndi US, zomwe zidzasintha ziyembekezo zaumoyo wachuma ndi malangizo azandalama.