Zochitika zachuma zomwe zikubwera pa 31 Okutobala 2024

Nthawi(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	chochitika	Mapa	Previous
01:30		2 mfundo	Zogulitsa Zogulitsa (MoM) (Sep)	0.3%	0.7%
01:30		2 mfundo	Chinese Composite PMI (Oct)	---	50.4
01:30		3 mfundo	Kupanga PMI (Oct)	50.0	49.8
01:30		2 mfundo	Osapanga PMI (Oct)	50.5	50.0
02:30		2 mfundo	Ndemanga ya Ndondomeko ya Ndalama ya BoJ	---	---
03:00		2 mfundo	BoJ Outlook Report (YoY)	---	---
03:00		3 mfundo	Chigamulo cha Chiwongoladzanja cha BoJ	0.25%	0.25%
06:30		2 mfundo	BoJ Press Conference	---	---
09:00		2 mfundo	ECB Economic Bulletin	---	---
10:00		2 mfundo	Core CPI (YoY) (Oct)	2.6%	2.7%
10:00		2 mfundo	CPI (MoM) (Oct)	---	-0.1%
10:00		3 mfundo	CPI (YoY) (Oct)	1.9%	1.7%
10:00		2 mfundo	Mlingo wa Ulova (Sep)	6.4%	6.4%
12:30		2 mfundo	Kupitiliza Zodandaula Zopanda Ntchito	---	1,897K
12:30		3 mfundo	Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Sep)	---	2.7%
12:30		3 mfundo	Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Sep)	0.3%	0.1%
12:30		2 mfundo	Employment Cost Index (QoQ) (Q3)	0.9%	0.9%
12:30		3 mfundo	Mayankho Oyamba Opanda Ntchito	231K	227K
12:30		2 mfundo	PCE Price index (YoY) (Sep)	---	2.2%
12:30		2 mfundo	PCE mitengo index (MoM) (Sep)	---	0.1%
12:30		2 mfundo	Kugwiritsa Ntchito Munthu Pawekha (MoM) (Sep)	0.4%	0.2%
13:45		3 mfundo	Chicago PMI (Oct)	47.1	46.6
20:30		2 mfundo	Malipiro a Fed	---	7,029B

Chidule cha Zochitika Zazachuma Zomwe Zikubwera pa Okutobala 31, 2024

1. Australia Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) (01:30 UTC):
   Imayesa kusintha kwa mwezi uliwonse pakugulitsa malonda, chizindikiro chachikulu cha ndalama za ogula. Zoneneratu: 0.3%, M'mbuyomu: 0.7%. Kugulitsa kocheperako kungasonyeze kufooka kwa ogula, komwe kungathe kulemera pa AUD.
2. China Composite PMI (Oct) (01:30 UTC):
   Imatsata zochitika zamabizinesi onse ku China, kuphatikiza magawo opanga ndi osapanga. Kenako: 50.4. Kuwerenga pamwamba pa 50 kukuwonetsa kukula.
3. China Manufacturing PMI (Oct) (01:30 UTC):
   Imayang'anira thanzi lamakampani opanga zinthu ku China. Zoneneratu: 50.0, Patsogolo: 49.8. Kuwerenga kapena kupitilira 50 kumawonetsa kukula.
4. China Non-Manufacturing PMI (Oct) (01:30 UTC):
   Imayezera zochitika m'magawo a ntchito ndi zomangamanga aku China. Zoneneratu: 50.5, Patsogolo: 50.0. Zoposa 50 zikuwonetsa kukula.
5. Ndemanga ya Ndondomeko ya Zachuma ya BoJ (02:30 UTC):
   Amapereka zidziwitso pamalingaliro a Bank of Japan pazandalama, kuphatikiza kusintha kulikonse komwe kungachitike.
6. Lipoti la BoJ Outlook (03:00 UTC):
   Malingaliro achuma a BoJ a kotala, omwe akuphatikizapo kukwera kwa mitengo ndi kukula. Imayang'aniridwa mwachidwi kuti mudziwe zambiri zamtsogolo za BoJ.
7. Chigamulo cha Chiwongola dzanja cha BoJ (03:00 UTC):
   Mlingo woyembekezeredwa: 0.25%. Palibe kusintha komwe kukuyembekezeka, koma kupatuka kulikonse kungakhudze JPY.
8. Bulletin ya ECB Economic (09:00 UTC):
   Amapereka zidziwitso pazachuma mu Eurozone, kutsogolera zoyembekeza zamtsogolo za ECB.
9. Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (Oct) (10:00 UTC):
   Kupatula mitengo yazakudya ndi mphamvu. Zoneneratu: 2.6%, Zam'mbuyo: 2.7%. Kutsika kwa inflation kumachepetsa kukakamiza kwa ECB kuti ipitirire.
10. Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Oct) (10:00 UTC):
    Imatsata kukwera kwa mitengo kwa ogula. Zoneneratu: 1.9%, M'mbuyomu: 1.7%. CPI yapamwamba ingasonyeze kukwera kwa inflation.
11. Mtengo wa Ulova wa Eurozone (Sep) (10:00 UTC):
    Imayesa kuchuluka kwa anthu ogwira ntchito omwe sali pantchito. Zoneneratu: 6.4%, M'mbuyomu: 6.4%.
12. US Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Mulingo waukulu wa inflation womwe umagwiritsidwa ntchito ndi Fed. M'mbuyomu: 2.7%. Kuwerengera kwakukulu kungasonyeze kupanikizika kwa inflation.
13. US Employment Cost Index (QoQ) (Q3) (12:30 UTC):
    Imayezera kusintha kwa mtengo wantchito. Zoneneratu: 0.9%, M'mbuyomu: 0.9%. Kukwera kwamitengo kungapangitse kukwera kwa mitengo.
14. Zofuna Zoyamba Zopanda Ntchito ku US (12:30 UTC):
    Imatsata zolemba zapasabata za phindu la ulova. Zoneneratu: 231K, Zam'mbuyo: 227K. Kuwonjezeka kwa zonena kungawonetse kufewa kwa msika wa ntchito.
15. US Personal Spending (MoM) (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Zoneneratu: 0.4%, M'mbuyomu: 0.2%. Kuwonjezeka kungasonyeze kuwononga kwakukulu kwa ogula, kuthandizira USD.
16. Chicago PMI (Oct) (13:45 UTC):
    Chizindikiro cha ntchito zamabizinesi kudera la Chicago. Zoneneratu: 47.1, Patsogolo: 46.6. M'munsimu 50 zizindikiro kutsika.
17. Malire a Fed (20:30 UTC):
    Kusintha kwa mlungu ndi mlungu pa chuma ndi ngongole za Federal Reserve. Zam'mbuyo: $7,029B.

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Market Impact Analysis

• Zogulitsa Zogulitsa ku Australia:
  Kugulitsa kocheperako kungasonyeze kuchepa kwa ndalama za ogula, mwina kufewetsa AUD. Kukula kwamphamvu kuposa momwe kumayembekezereka kungathandize ndalamazo.
• China PMI Data:
  Kuwerenga pamwamba pa 50 kwa ma PMI opanga ndi osapanga kungasonyeze kukula, komwe kungathandize katundu ndi ndalama zowonongeka. Ma PMI ofooka amatha kutsitsa malingaliro apadziko lonse lapansi.
• BoJ Monetary Policy and Outlook Report:
  Kusintha kulikonse kosayembekezereka pakulimbitsa kungalimbikitse JPY, pomwe kukhazikika kopitilira muyeso kungalemere.
• Eurozone CPI ndi Core CPI (YoY):
  Ziwerengero zakukwera kwambiri kuposa zomwe zimayembekezeredwa zithandizira EUR powonjezera mwayi wokulirakulira kwa ECB, pomwe ziwerengero zotsika zitha kufewetsa ndalamazo.
• US Core PCE Price Index & Employment Cost Index:
  Kuwerengera kwapamwamba kwa PCE yapakati kapena ndalama zogwirira ntchito zingasonyeze kukwera kwa mitengo kosalekeza, kuthandizira USD ndi zomwe zingathe kutsogolera kuwonjezereka kwa Fed.
• Zonena Zoyamba Zopanda Ntchito ku US & Kuwononga Kwaumwini:
  Zonena zotsika zopanda ntchito zikuwonetsa kulimba kwa msika wantchito, kuthandizira USD. Kuwonjezeka kwa ndalama zomwe munthu akugwiritsa ntchito kungathandizenso USD powonetsa kufunikira kwakukulu kwa ogula.
• Chicago PMI:
  Kuwerenga pansi pa 50 kungasonyeze kuchepa kwachuma, komwe kungathe kulemera pa USD.

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Zotsatira Zonse

Kusasinthasintha:
Zapamwamba, zoyendetsedwa ndi kukwera kwa inflation ndi deta ya ntchito kuchokera ku US, pamodzi ndi malipoti a banki apakati ndi deta ya CPI kuchokera ku Eurozone ndi Japan. Zochitika izi zidzakhudza ziyembekezo za kukula kwa dziko lonse lapansi ndi ndondomeko ya ndalama.

Zotsatira: 8/10, chifukwa cha zisonyezo zazachuma zochokera kumayiko ambiri azachuma zomwe zingapangitse ziyembekezo za kukwera kwa mitengo komanso kusintha kwa mfundo za banki yayikulu.