Jeremy Oles

Kusinthidwa: 01/09/2025
Gawani izi!
By Kusinthidwa: 01/09/2025
Nthawi(GMT+0/UTC+0)StateImportanceEventForecastPrevious
01:30🇦🇺2 pointsAkaunti Yapano (Q2)-15.9B-14.7B
03:35🇯🇵2 points10-Year JGB Auction----1.462%
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsCore CPI (YoY) (Aug)2.2%2.3%
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsCPI (MoM) (Aug)----0.0%
09:00🇪🇺3 pointsCPI (YoY) (Aug)2.0%2.0%
11:30🇪🇺2 pointsElderson wa ECB Akulankhula --------
13:45???????3 pointsS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug)53.349.8
14:00???????2 pointsNdalama Zomangamanga (MoM) (Jul)-0.1%-0.4%
14:00???????2 pointsISM Manufacturing Employment (Aug)----43.4
14:00???????3 pointsISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug)48.948.0
14:00???????3 pointsMitengo Yopanga ISM (Aug)65.164.8
17:00???????2 pointsAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)3.5%3.5%

Chidule cha Zochitika Zachuma Zomwe Zikubwera pa September 2, 2025

Asia - Australia ndi Japan

Australia - Akaunti Yapano (Q2) - 01:30 UTC

  • Zoneneratu: -15.9B (Prev.: -14.7B)
  • Zotsatira: Kuchepeka kwakukulu kumawonetsa kufooka kwa malonda, komwe kungathe kulemera pa AUD, makamaka ngati mitengo yazinthu ikadali yopanikizika.

Japan - 10-Year JGB Auction - 03:35 UTC

  • Zam'mbuyo. Zotuluka: 1.462%
  • Zotsatira: Kufuna kwa malonda kudzasintha zokolola za JGB. Kufuna kwakukulu kumapangitsa kuti zokolola zikhale zochepa komanso zimathandizira JPY; kufunikira kofooka kungapangitse zokolola zambiri, kufooketsa JPY.

Europe - Inflation & ECB Ndemanga

Eurozone CPI (Aug) - 09:00 UTC

  • Core CPI YOY: 2.2% (Prev.: 2.3%)
  • Mutu wa CPI YoY: 2.0% (Prev.: 2.0%)
  • CPI MoM: Zoyembekezeka (Prev.: 0.0%)
  • Zotsatira: Kutsika kwamitengo yokhazikika / kutsika pang'ono kukuwonetsa kuti mfundo za ECB zitha kukhala zosamala. Kutsika modabwitsa kungafooketse EUR; kukwera kwamphamvu kwamphamvu kuposa momwe amayembekezereka kungapangitse chiyembekezo cha hawkish.

Elderson wa ECB Akulankhula - 11:30 UTC

  • Zotsatira: Adzayang'ana kwambiri kaimidwe kake pankhani ya kulimbikira kwa inflation ndi kuchepetsa ndalama. Toni ya hawkish imathandizira EUR, kamvekedwe kake kamakakamiza.

United States - Kupanga & Kukula kwa Outlook

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug) - 13:45 UTC

  • Zoneneratu: 53.3 (Prev.: 49.8)
  • Zotsatira: Kubwereranso kwakuthwa pakukulitsa kukuwonetsa kuyambiranso kwa mafakitale, zabwino za USD ndi ndalama.

Ndalama Zomangamanga (MoM, Jul) - 14:00 UTC

  • Zoneneratu: -0.1% (Prev.: -0.4%)
  • Zotsatira: Kupitilizidwa kwa ntchito yomanga sikungayende bwino pakukula kwa US, makamaka magawo okhudzana ndi nyumba.

ISM Manufacturing PMI & Mitengo (Aug) - 14:00 UTC

  • Zoneneratu za PMI: 48.9 (Prev.: 48.0)
  • Zolosera Zamitengo: 65.1 (Prev.: 64.8)
  • Zotsatira: Kuchira pang'ono kwa PMI kumawonetsabe kutsika, pomwe mitengo yokwera ikuwonetsa kutsika kwamitengo. Kusakaniza uku kukhoza kusokoneza ndondomeko ya Fed-kukula kofooka, koma ndalama zimakhalabe zokwera.

Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) - 17:00 UTC

  • Zoneneratu: 3.5% (yofanana)
  • Zotsatira: Kutsata kwamphamvu kumatsimikizira kulimba mtima pakukula kwa US, kuthandizira USD ndi zokolola.

Market Impact Analysis

  • Asia: AUD mwina idakakamizidwa ndi kukulitsa kuchepa kwa akaunti, pomwe kugulitsa kwa JGB kumatha kusintha malingaliro a yen kutengera kufunikira.
  • Europe: Eurozone CPI ndiye dalaivala wamkulu-kutsika kwamitengo kumapangitsa EUR kukhala pampanipani pokhapokha ndemanga ya ECB ikusintha kukhala hawkish.
  • US: Kuwerenga kwa PMI ndikofunikira kwambiri. Kubwereranso kwamphamvu (S&P 53.3, ISM pafupi ndi 49) pamodzi ndi zovuta zamtengo wapatali zimatha limbitsani USD ndikukweza zokolola, pamene deta yofooka ingatsitsimutse mantha a kugwa kwachuma ndi kukonda ndalama.

Zotsatira Zonse: 8/10

  • Chifukwa chiyani: Zopanga za US zopanga komanso kutsika kwa mitengo ya Eurozone zimalamulira, ndikuthekera kusuntha USD, EUR, ndi misika yamalonda kwambiri. Zambiri za PMI + zolimba za inflation zitha kuwongolera malingaliro "zapamwamba kwanthawi yayitali" mfundo za Fed ndi ECB.