Zochitika zachuma zomwe zikubwera 18 June 2025

Nthawi(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	Event	Forecast	Previous
07:30		2 points	Elderson wa ECB Akulankhula	----	----
09:00		2 points	Core CPI (YoY) (May)	2.3%	2.7%
09:00		2 points	CPI (MoM) (May)	0.0%	0.6%
09:00		3 points	CPI (YoY) (May)	1.9%	1.9%
12:30		2 points	Zilolezo Zomanga (May)	1.430M	1.422M
12:30		2 points	Kupitiliza Zodandaula Zopanda Ntchito	----	1,956K
12:30		2 points	Nyumba Zimayamba (Meyi)	1.360M	1.361M
12:30		2 points	Nyumba Imayambira (MoM) (Meyi)	----	1.6%
12:30		3 points	Mayankho Oyamba Opanda Ntchito	----	248K
14:30		3 points	Mafuta Osakaniza Mafuta	----	-3.644M
14:30		2 points	Cushing Crude Mafuta Inventories	----	-0.403M
15:00		2 points	Njira ya ECB Imalankhula	----	----
15:30		2 points	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2)	----	----
18:00		2 points	Chiwongola dzanja - 1st Yr (Q2)	----	3.4%
18:00		2 points	Chiwongola dzanja - 2nd Yr (Q2)	----	3.1%
18:00		2 points	Chiwongola dzanja - Panopa (Q2)	----	3.9%
18:00		2 points	Chiwongola dzanja - Kutalikirapo (Q2)	----	3.0%
18:00		3 points	FOMC Economic Projections	----	----
18:00		3 points	Chithunzi cha FOMC	----	----
18:00		3 points	Chigamulo cha Chiwongola dzanja cha Fed	4.50%	4.50%
18:00		2 points	De Guindos wa ECB Amalankhula	----	----
18:30		3 points	Msonkhano Wa Wa FOMC	----	----
20:00		2 points	TIC Net-Term-Term Transactions (Epulo)	----	161.8B
22:45		2 points	GDP (QQ) (Q1)	0.7%	0.7%

Chidule cha Zochitika Zachuma Zomwe Zikubwera pa June 18, 2025

Eurozone

1. Elderson, Lane, ndi De Guindos Speak a ECB — 07:30, 15:00, 18:00 UTC

• Zotsatira Zamsika:
  • Kusintha kulikonse kwa kamvekedwe pambuyo pa kudulidwa kwaposachedwa kwa ECB kungakhudze EUR, zokolola za bond, komanso malingaliro owopsa.
  • Zizindikiro za hawkish zimatha kulimbikitsa EUR; mawu achipongwe atha kukakamiza yuro mopitilira.

2. CPI & Core CPI (May) - 09:00 UTC

• Core CPI (YoY): Zoneneratu 2.3% | M'mbuyomu 2.7%
• CPI (YoY): Zoneneratu 1.9% | M'mbuyomu 1.9%
• CPI (MoM): Zoneneratu 0.0% | M'mbuyomu 0.6%
• Zotsatira Zamsika:
  • Kutsika kwakukulu kwa inflation kungalimbikitse ziyembekezo kuti ECB ipitilizabe njira yakuda.
  • Kuwerenga kotentha kwambiri kuposa kuyembekezera kungayambitse EUR kuti ibwerenso ndipo zokolola zikukwera.

United States

3. Zilolezo za Nyumba ndi Zomangamanga (May) - 12:30 UTC

• Zilolezo Zomanga: Zoneneratu 1.430M | Patsogolo 1.422M
• Nyumba Zimayambira: Zoneneratu 1.360M | Patsogolo 1.361M
• Zotsatira Zamsika:
  • Kukhazikika muzothandizira nyumba nkhani ya kukula pang'ono.
  • Manambala ofooka angayambitse nkhawa kuchepa kwa gawo la nyumba, mwina kuthandizira Zakudya zamafuta.

4. Zodandaula Zopanda Ntchito - 12:30 UTC

• Zofuna Zoyamba: M'mbuyomu 248K
• Zofuna Kupitilira: Pambuyo 1.956M
• Zotsatira Zamsika:
  • Kuonjezeranso kufewetsa msika wa ntchito kungathandize Kuchepetsa mtengo wa Fed, pamene deta yamphamvu ikhoza kuchepetsa ziyembekezo zachilendo.

5. Mafuta Opanda Mafuta - 14:30 UTC

• Previous: -3.644M

6. Cushing Inventories - 14:30 UTC

• Previous: -0.403M
• Zotsatira Zamsika:
  • Zolemba zazikulu zikhoza kuthandizira mitengo yamafuta, kukweza nkhawa za kukwera kwa mitengo ndi kukopa masheya agawo lamphamvu.

7. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2) - 15:30 UTC

• Zotsatira Zamsika:
  • Kuwongolera kulikonse kwapamwamba kumasunga kukula kumakhudza zochepa, kuchepetsa ziyembekezo za Fed.

8. Chigamulo cha Chiwongoladzanja cha FOMC, Ndemanga, ndi Zowonetsera - 18:00 UTC

• Mtengo Wandandanda wa Fed Funds: Zoneneratu 4.50% | M'mbuyomu 4.50%
• Kuyerekeza kwa Chiwongola dzanja (Dot Plot):
  • Chaka 1: Cham'mbuyo 3.4%
  • Chaka cha 2: Cham'mbuyo 3.1%
  • Pakalipano: Cham'mbuyo 3.9%
  • Kuthamanga Kwambiri: Pambuyo 3.0%
• Zotsatira Zamsika:
  • Cholinga chachikulu chapadziko lonse lapansi. Palibe zosintha zomwe zikuyembekezeredwa, koma zosintha pazolinga ndi madontho zidzasintha Mtengo wa 2025.
  • Chiwembu cha madontho a hawkish chikhoza kuyambitsa USD ndi zokolola, zotengera za pressure.
  • Zolinga za Dovish zitha kuyambitsa misonkhano yamphamvu mkati zinthu zoopsa ndi ma bond.

9. FOMC Press Conference - 18:30 UTC

• Zotsatira Zamsika:
  • Liwu la Powell lidzatsimikizira USD yanthawi yayitali komanso malangizo azinthu zowopsa pambuyo poyerekezera.

10. TIC Net Long-Term Transactions (Apr) — 20:00 UTC

• Previous: 161.8B
• Zotsatira Zamsika:
  • Kufuna kwakukulu kwakunja kwa chuma cha US kumathandizira USD ndi misika yama bond.

New Zealand

11. GDP (QoQ) (Q1) - 22:45 UTC

• Zoneneratu: 0.7% Previous: 0.7%
• Zotsatira Zamsika:
  • Kuphonya may pressure NZD ndi kuonjezera mantha azachuma.
  • Kusindikiza kolimba kumatha thandizo NZD ndikuwongolera malingaliro owopsa amderalo.

Market Impact Analysis

• Ichi ndi chimodzi mwa masiku okhudzidwa kwambiri a mweziwo.
• Chisankho cha FOMC, Dot Plot, ndi Msonkhano wa Powell idzakhazikitsa chiwopsezo chapadziko lonse lapansi.
• Eurozone CPI zidzakhudza ziyembekezo za ECB ndi EUR mayendedwe.
• Nyumba zaku US, deta ya ogwira ntchito, ndi zida zamafuta zitha kuyendetsa kusuntha kwanthawi yayitali kwa USD, bond, ndi equity.
• New Zealand GDP amachepetsa volatility kwa Misika yaku Asia-Pacific.

Zotsatira Zonse: 10/10

Kuyikira Kwambiri:
Misika yonse yapadziko lonse lapansi idzawonera Zomwe zasinthidwa za Fed komanso msonkhano wa atolankhani wa Powell, zomwe zingayambitse kusuntha kwakanthawi kochepa USD, equities, Treasury, golide, ndi zinthu zowopsa padziko lonse lapansi. Lero likupereka pazipita kusakhazikika chiopsezo kudutsa pafupifupi makalasi onse amtengo.