Zochitika zachuma zomwe zikubwera pa 16 Epulo 2025

Nthawi(GMT+0/UTC+0)	State	Importance	Event	Forecast	Previous
02:00		2 points	Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) (Mar)	4.1%	4.1%
02:00		2 points	GDP (QQ) (Q1)	1.4%	1.6%
02:00		3 points	GDP (YoY) (Q1)	5.2%	5.4%
02:00		2 points	GDP yaku China YTD (YoY) (Q1)	----	5.0%
02:00		2 points	Industrial Production (YoY) (Mar)	5.9%	5.9%
02:00		2 points	Chinese Industrial Production YTD (YoY) (Mar)	----	5.9%
02:00		2 points	Mlingo wa Ulova waku China (Mar)	5.3%	5.4%
02:00		2 points	NBS Press Conference	----	----
09:00		2 points	Core CPI (YoY) (Mar)	2.4%	2.6%
09:00		2 points	CPI (MoM) (Mar)	0.6%	0.4%
09:00		3 points	CPI (YoY) (Mar)	2.2%	2.3%
12:30		3 points	Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar)	0.4%	0.3%
12:30		2 points	Retail Control (MoM) (Mar)	----	1.0%
12:30		3 points	Zogulitsa Zogulitsa (MoM) (Mar)	1.4%	0.2%
13:15		2 points	Industrial Production (MoM) (Mar)	-0.2%	0.7%
13:15		2 points	Industrial Production (YoY) (Mar)	----	1.44%
14:00		2 points	Business Inventories (MoM) (Feb)	0.3%	0.3%
14:00		2 points	Retail Inventories Ex Auto (Feb)	0.1%	0.5%
14:30		3 points	Mafuta Osakaniza Mafuta	----	2.553M
14:30		2 points	Cushing Crude Mafuta Inventories	----	0.681M
17:00		2 points	Zaka 20 Zogulitsa Bond	----	4.632%
17:00		2 points	Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1)	----	----
17:15		3 points	Fed Chair Powell Akuyankhula	----	----
20:00		2 points	TIC Net-Term-Term Transactions (Feb)	35.2B	-45.2B
22:45		2 points	CPI (YoY) (Q1)	2.3%	2.2%
22:45		2 points	CPI (QQ) (Q1)	0.8%	0.5%
23:50		2 points	Kusintha kwa Trade Balance	-0.25T	0.18T
23:50		2 points	Zogulitsa kunja (YoY) (Mar)	----	11.4%
23:50		2 points	Ndalama Zamalonda (Mar)	----	584.5B

Chidule cha Zochitika Zazachuma Zikubwera pa Epulo 16, 2025

China (🇨🇳)

1. Q1 GDP (YoY) – 02:00 UTC
   • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 5.2% / 5.4%
   • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kutsika pang'onopang'ono kukuyembekezeredwa chifukwa cha kukwera kwa mitengo yamitengo yaku US komanso kufowoketsa kwa katundu wakunja. Ofufuza awunikiranso zoneneratu za GDP ya chaka chonse ku China kutsika, ndikukula kwa 3.4% mu 2025.
2. Q1 GDP (QQ) - 02:00 UTC
   • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 1.4% / 1.6%
   • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kukula kwa kotala kumayembekezeredwa kuchepa, kuwonetsa zovuta zamalonda ndi zovuta zachuma zapakhomo.
3. Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) (Mar) - 02:00 UTC
   • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 4.1% / 4.1%
   • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kukula kokhazikika kwazachuma kukuwonetsa chiyembekezo chosamala pakati pazovuta zachuma.
4. Kupanga Kwa mafakitale (YoY) (Mar) - 02:00 UTC
   • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 5.9% / 5.9%
   • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kukhazikika kwa mafakitale kumawonetsa kulimba m'makampani opanga ngakhale pali zovuta zakunja.
5. Mtengo Wosowa Ntchito (Mar) - 02:00 UTC
   • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 5.3% / 5.4%
   • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kuchepako pang’ono kwa ulova kungapereke mpumulo kwa opanga malamulo mkati mwa kusatsimikizirika kwachuma.

Eurozone (🇪🇺)

6. CPI (YoY) (Mar) – 09:00 UTC
   • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 2.2% / 2.3%
   • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kutsika kwa inflation kungakhudze zisankho za ndondomeko ya ndalama za European Central Bank, zomwe zingathe kuthandizira kuchepetsa mitengo.
7. Core CPI (YoY) (Mar) – 09:00 UTC
   • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 2.4% / 2.6%
   • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kuchepetsa kutsika kwapakati pazachuma kumatha kulimbikitsa ziyembekezo zamakhalidwe abwino kuchokera ku ECB.

United States (🇺🇸)

8. Zogulitsa Zogulitsa (MoM) (Mar) - 12:30 UTC
   • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 1.4% / 0.2%
   • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kukuyembekezeredwa, motsogozedwa ndi kuchuluka kwa kugula magalimoto pomwe ogula amapitilira mitengo yamitengo yomwe ikubwera.
9. Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Mar) - 12:30 UTC
   • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 0.4% / 0.3%
   • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kukula kwapang'onopang'ono pakugulitsa kwakukulu kukuwonetsa kuti kufunikira kwa ogula kumakhalabe kokhazikika.
10. Kupanga Kwa mafakitale (MoM) (Mar) - 13:15 UTC
    • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: -0.2% / 0.7%
    • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kutsika kwazinthu zopanga zinthu kungayambitse nkhawa pakukula kwa gawo lazopangapanga.
11. Mafuta Opanda Mafuta - 14:30 UTC
    • Previous: 2.553M
    • Zotsatira Zamsika: Miyezo yazinthu idzayang'aniridwa mwachidwi kuti muwonetsetse kufunikira kwamphamvu pamsika wamagetsi.
12. Fed Chair Powell Speech - 17:15 UTC
    • Zotsatira Zamsika: Otsatsa ndalama aziwunikanso ndemanga kuti adziwe momwe Federal Reserve ikuwonera pakukula kwa inflation ndi chiwongola dzanja.

New Zealand (🇳🇿)

13. CPI (YoY) (Q1) - 22:45 UTC
    • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 2.3% / 2.2%
    • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kukwera pang'ono kungathe kusokoneza malingaliro a Reserve Bank of New Zealand ndondomeko yazachuma.
14. CPI (QoQ) (Q1) – 22:45 UTC
    • Zoneneratu / Zam'mbuyo: 0.8% / 0.5%
    • Zotsatira Zamsika: Kukwera kwa inflation kotala kumatha kuwonetsa kukakamiza kwamitengo.

Japan (🇯🇵)

15. Ndalama Zamalonda (Mar) - 23:50 UTC
    • Previous: 584.5B
    • Zotsatira Zamsika: Deta yamalonda idzapereka chidziwitso pamayendedwe otumiza kunja mkati mwa kusatsimikizika kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi.
16. Zogulitsa kunja (YoY) (Mar) - 23:50 UTC
    • Previous: 11.4%
    • Zotsatira Zamsika: Ziwerengero zogulitsa kunja zidzawunikidwa pazizindikiro za kufunikira kwamphamvu kapena kufooka m'misika yayikulu.

Market Impact Analysis

• CNY: Kusasinthika komwe kungachitike poyankha GDP ndi deta yopanga mafakitale, makamaka pakati pazovuta zamalonda.
• EUR: Kuwerengera kwa inflation kungakhudze ziyembekezo za mfundo za ECB, zomwe zimakhudza mphamvu ya euro.
• USD: Zogulitsa zogulitsa komanso zolankhula za Fed Chair Powell ndizochitika zazikulu zomwe zitha kusokoneza malingaliro amsika komanso kuwerengera kwa dollar.
• NZD: Deta ya inflation ingakhudze ziyembekezo za ndondomeko ya ndondomeko ya RBNZ.
• JPY: Zambiri zamalonda zidzakhala zofunika kwambiri pakuwunika kulimba kwachuma ku Japan.

Zotsatira Zonse: 7/10

Kuyikira Kwambiri: Kutulutsidwa kwa GDP yaku China, ziwerengero zogulitsa ku US, ndi zolankhula za Fed Chair Powell ndizochitika zazikulu zomwe zitha kuyendetsa msika pa Epulo 16, 2025.