Jeremy Oles
Gawani izi!
| Nthawi(GMT+0/UTC+0) | State | Importance | Event | | Previous |
| 08:00 |  | 2 points | IEA Monthly Report | ---- | ---- |
| 11:00 | | 2 points | Lipoti la mwezi wa OPEC | ---- | ---- |
| 12:15 |  | 2 points | Deposit Facility Rate (Sep) | 2.00% | 2.00% |
| 12:15 | | 2 points | ECB Marginal Lending Facility | ---- | 2.40% |
| 12:15 | | 2 points | Chithunzi cha ECB Monetary Policy | ---- | ---- |
| 12:15 | | 2 points | Chigamulo cha Chiwongola dzanja cha ECB (Sep) | 2.15% | 2.15% |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | Kupitiliza Zodandaula Zopanda Ntchito | ---- | 1,940K |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | Core CPI (MoM) (Aug) | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | Core CPI (YoY) (Aug) | ---- | 3.1% |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | CPI (MoM) (Aug) | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | CPI (YoY) (Aug) | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | Mayankho Oyamba Opanda Ntchito | 234K | 237K |
| 12:45 | | 2 points | ECB Press Conference | ---- | ---- |
| 14:15 | | 2 points | Purezidenti wa ECB Lagarde Amalankhula | ---- | ---- |
| 17:00 | | 2 points | Zaka 30 Zogulitsa Bond | ---- | 4.813% |
| 18:00 | | 2 points | Federal Budget Balance (Aug) | -305.7B | -291.0B |
| 20:30 | | 2 points | Malipiro a Fed | ---- | 6,602B |
| 22:30 |  | 2 points | Business NZ PMI (Aug) | ---- | 52.8 |
| 22:45 | | 2 points | Electronic Card Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) | ---- | 0.2% |
Chidule cha Zochitika Zachuma Zomwe Zikubwera pa September 11, 2025
Misika Yamagetsi - Malipoti a IEA & OPEC
- IEA Monthly Report - 08:00 UTC
- OPEC Monthly Report - 11:00 UTC
- Zotsatira: Malipoti onsewa asintha mawonekedwe ofunikira / operekera mafuta.
- Zosintha zaposachedwa (zofuna zambiri, zotsika mtengo) → mitengo yotsika mtengo, CAD/NOK yamphamvu, ndi mphamvu zamagetsi.
- Ndemanga za Bearish → kukakamizidwa pamafuta ndi malingaliro owopsa.
Europe - Zosankha za ECB Policy
Chigamulo cha Mtengo wa ECB (Sep) - 12:15 UTC
- Mtengo wa Deposit Facility: 2.00% (yofanana)
- Mtengo waukulu: 2.15% (yofanana)
- Zotsatira: Palibe kusintha komwe kukuyembekezeka. Msika umasintha kukhala:
- ECB Monetary Policy Statement & Lagarde's Press Conference (12:45 & 14:15 UTC).
- Kamvekedwe ka Hawkish → Thandizo la EUR, mgwirizano umabala.
- Kamvekedwe ka Dovish → EUR imafewetsa, ma equity atha kuchita bwino.
United States - Inflation, Labor & Bonds
CPI Data (Aug) - 12:30 UTC
- Core CPI (MoM): 0.3% (yofanana)
- CPI (YoY): 2.9% (yapita 2.7%)
- Zotsatira:
- Kutentha kwa CPI → Kukula kwa hawkish kutsitsimutsidwa, USD kukwera, zokolola zimakwera, ndalama zimakakamizidwa.
- CPI yofewa → USD yocheperako, ndalama kukwera, mgwirizano wama bond.
Zofuna Zopanda Ntchito - 12:30 UTC
- Poyamba: 234K (yapita 237K)
- Kupitilira: ~1.94M (yapita 1.94M)
- Zotsatira: Zonena zokhazikika = kulimba kwa msika wantchito → kumachepetsa chipinda cha Fed kuti chife. Kuchuluka kwamphamvu kumathandizira kufunikira kwamphamvu.
Kugulitsa kwa Bond kwa Zaka 30 - 17:00 UTC
- Zokolola Zam'mbuyo: 4.813%
- Zotsatira: Mulingo wofunikira pakubwereka kwanthawi yayitali. Kufuna kofooka → zokolola zambiri, kukakamizidwa pamitengo. Kufuna kwakukulu → kusonkhana kwachithandizo m'mabondi ndi ndalama.
Federal Budget Balance (Aug) - 18:00 UTC
- Zoneneratu: -305.7B (kale -291B)
- Zotsatira: Kuperewera kwakukulu → nkhawa za ngongole zanthawi yayitali, zitha kukhala zolemera pama bond & malingaliro a USD.
Fed Balance Sheet - 20:30 UTC
- Previous: $ 6,602B
- Zotsatira: Shrinkage imathandizira kuchepa kwamadzi, kukulitsa kungasonyeze kuchepeka.
New Zealand - Business Conditions
Business NZ PMI (Aug) - 22:30 UTC
- Previous: 52.8
- Zotsatira: Pamwamba pa 50 = kukulitsa, kuthandizira NZD. Kuchepa mphamvu kungawononge malingaliro a NZD.
Malonda Ogulitsa Makhadi Amagetsi (Aug) - 22:45 UTC
- Previous: + 0.2%
- Zotsatira: Imawonetsa mphamvu ya ogula; upside imathandizira NZD.
Market Impact Analysis
- Mphamvu: IEA & OPEC ikhoza kuyendetsa kusakhazikika kwamafuta koyambirira.
- ECB: Chisankho chikhoza kukhala chosasunthika, koma kamvekedwe ka Lagarde kuyika mayendedwe a EUR.
- US: CPI ndiye dalaivala wamkulu wa msika watsiku. Kugulitsa ma bond ndi kuchepa kwachuma kumalimbitsa zokolola za Treasury.
- NZ: Zotsatira zachiwiri, koma deta yogulitsa ikhoza kusuntha NZD mu malonda aku Asia.
Zotsatira Zonse: 9/10
- Chifukwa chiyani: US CPI, zisankho za ECB, ndi zosintha za msika wamafuta zimapanga a tsiku loyendetsa katatu za FX, equities, bond, ndi katundu.
